Flood Map & Prep Info

Note: Since first publishing this post 10/16/2015 I have made a few updates. For this final update, here are some links for satellite images of El Niño and the “Blob” Tom Fayram mentioned, to find the latest and historical status:
sealevel.jpl.nasa.gov/science/elninopdo/latestdata/
sealevel.jpl.nasa.gov/elnino2015/index.html
Though still alarming compared with earlier El Niño images, the most recent show some easing of conditions and particularly a reduction in the “Blob” along with the strongest remnant of that having moved North beyond Point Conception where it had been. There is also a CA Corps of Engineers video about preparedness featuring Tom here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IF4witpCj14

I appreciate the support of the SV office for our 11/19 meeting, and they have kindly provided me a copy of their “Emergency Preparedness & Evacuation Plan” containing much of the information here in the DPG “911” section of this website. Their plan may be available from the office in print or via email. For your reference, below is the Table Of Contents page of that document.

SV Evacuation Plan Contents
SV Evacuation Plan Contents

In case the predicted El Niño floods affect SB this Winter, I was curious if and how we might be affected here at SVMHP. I found an insurance “100 year” flood risk map at this FEMA link and have downsized & cropped it for an easier to manage map of our area. The blue outlined area affects mostly lower Rancho Santa Barbara homes but several of ours are included. I note that this map represents flood risk if the channel is kept clear of debris, and since most of the creeks and channels are on private land, government agencies would not do that during a major regional flooding event.

Here’s my downsized and edited version of the FEMA flood risk map (click on it to enlarge), with the Legend cropped to relevant items and moved to the left side.

FEMA Flood Map (edited)
FEMA Flood Map (edited)

There’s a different version of this map that’s interactive and in color at this FEMA Flood Hazard link. Here’s a zoomed in and cropped area of that map (actually a satellite view) of our affected homes along the green belt. More would probably be affected if there were any debris blockage of the bridges or other factors in an unprecedented exceptional flood.

SVMHP Main Flood Risk
SVMHP Main Flood Risk

There’s a description of terminology and more info at this FEMA Community info link. You can find more local info and links on the County Flood Prep link and their new site.

Although there is no history of damaging floods at San Vicente, in an exceptional rain event access to the Cathedral Oaks exit could be blocked. Our bridges over the Atascadero Creek barranca running through San Vicente are unlikely to be blocked by debris. There is some possibility that the culverts under Cathedral Oaks at the base of Hwy.154 or Via Chaparral could block and flood the Hwy.192/154 intersection. That wouldn’t affect San Vicente unless Cathedral Oaks then filled up and spilled over the wall or through the upper gate, in which case it would probably run down our streets into the barranca and/or through the lower Old Mill gate. Here are some aerial views of the terrain above San Vicente (click to enlarge).

Image 4265 San Vicente to North
San Vicente to North

The basic watershed drainage area above San Vicente extends from this side of San Antonio Creek angling toward the Northeast across to the first ridge across the above pic, and East to a ridge running South on this side of Cieneguitas Creek (beyond the right side of this pic). A small section of that creek is marked by the line of trees running across the bottom-right corner of the above pic.

SV to N. - Sunset
SV to N. – Sunset (Atascadero Creek from lower-left to upper-right)

Just before sunset, shadows help to reveal the terrain contours as seen in the above pic. The ridge across the top where 154 disappears from view is the top of our watershed, extending just beyond the top-right corner.

I found a website for County storm drain maps and have stitched together maps G36, G27, G18 and G9 to cover Atascadero Creek from 101 to the top of their maps. Here then is the area immediately around SVMHP (click to enlarge).

SV Storm Drain Map
SV Storm Drain Map (County)
Storm Drain Map Legend
Storm Drain Map Legend

Here is a full-size version of this composite map (click to enlarge) with more of the surrounding area included to show nearly all of the watershed above San Vicente. The two main sources of runoff are to the Northwest (NW) above Via Chaparral, and to the North along Atascadero Creek.

San Vicente Watershed
San Vicente Watershed

10/08/2015 Board Minutes

San Vicente Homeowners Monthly Board Meeting Minutes

October 8, 2015

Website: svmha.com

email address: 340oldmill.svmha@gmail.com

Officers Present: Bob Mann, Ronnie Sumter, Paul Ortega, Cheryl Mrachek

Board Members Present: Lilith Imbrogno, Ellen Duke, Mark Allen, Pat Haden

Board Members Absent: Tony Jimenez, Jack Jackson, Don Webb

Guests: Mollie Mann, Angela Stephens and Tony and Brenda Spinella

Bob Mann, president, called the meeting to order at 7:00 p.m. The Board Association

Minutes of September 10th, 2015 were read with no corrections. Minutes approved.

Treasurer’s Report: Due to the early date of this month’s meeting there has not been a bank statement received.

Social Committee Report: The October Happy Hour will be Thursday, October 22nd at 5pm. The Social Committee’s Sunday Brunch was a great success. We had 65 signed up but 80 showed up prompting a discussion of having just one box for checks and doing away with the box at 207 Gatehouse. Our next event will be free to residents only. It will be a Lasagna dinner on Saturday, November 7th. All the details are in The Voice.”

Old Business:

The negotiations are ongoing with the Sisters of Charity. Rob appreciated the board’s letter of support. Bob, Mark and Cheryl met with Rob in the early afternoon of 10/08. Rob and Stuart will be here until June of 2017. If Rob maintains the lease and management of our Park he will turn the management over to J & H management, 2017. We will be able to watch and see how that management handles Rancho. We will know more after negotiations conclude with the sisters.

Announcement/New Business:

Board should begin to select slate of officers for next year soon. Suggestion made by Bob was to make the election cycle of the Board every two years for half the Board. Oldest serving members will be put on the ballot first (2016) and the second half will be put on the ballot the following election (2018) Mark made the motion to review the bylaws and rewrite to simplify. Board will review it and approve changes. Then all HOA members would vote at January meeting. Pat Haden seconded motion and board voted approval. Pat also stated she would not run in 2016.

Any HOA members interested in being on the Board should submit their names to any Board member by November 20.

SCAMPER/GSMOL:

Ellen reported on that September 12th meeting. It was on Legislative issues of Mobile Home Parks. 1.) What steps must be taken to close a park. Stated that it was a very good organization to belong to and its’ alliance with GSMOL. Pat would like to encourage people to join. Ellen will look into a committee and members.

The next Board meeting will be Thursday, November 12th, 2015 at 7 P.M. in the Clubhouse. The meeting was adjourned at 7:50 p.m.

Home Owner Association (HOA) Membership: All residents benefit from your HOA. Please encourage your neighbors to join. It’s just $40 for first time members or $15 to renew a membership. Drop the check off at the Clubhouse in the HOA box. Currently 161 members have already paid their dues. The larger our membership, the stronger our voice!